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California Dreamin’? With Newsom’s Win, Single-Payer Unlikely To Follow Anytime Soon

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Californians on Tuesday elected a governor who campaigned for a whole overhaul of how individuals get their well being protection — however they shouldn’t maintain their breath.

Rather, as Gov.-elect Gavin Newsom and the Democratic-controlled legislature take steps to supply extra individuals with medical insurance, they’ll seemingly strategy it piecemeal over a number of years.

Newsom himself is already tempering expectations about California’s transfer to a single-payer system, saying it’ll take greater than the desire of 1 individual to understand.

“I’m not going to hesitate to be bold on this issue, and I also want to set expectations,” Newsom advised reporters final week at a marketing campaign cease in Sacramento. “It’s a multiyear process.”

The Democratic lieutenant governor easily routed Republican John Cox within the governor’s race Tuesday, with Newsom vowing to face as much as President Donald Trump and restore the “California Dream” by addressing inexpensive housing, well being care and earnings inequality within the nation’s most populous state.

Newsom’s views are in stark distinction to Cox’s, who maintained that authorities ought to largely keep out of well being care. The free-market businessman mentioned single-payer would ship well being care prices hovering whereas diminishing high quality, and warned that it “is a sure way to destroy the California economy.”

Like many Democrats, Newsom has described well being care with no consideration and vowed to defend the Affordable Care Act as governor. He additionally criticized the legislature final 12 months when it held up a single-payer invoice that may have created one government-run public insurance coverage program for all Californians.

He received the endorsement from the politically highly effective California Nurses Association for vigorously advocating single-payer. Going sluggish on single-payer may check his relationship with the union, which launched a brutal attack towards the Democratic state Assembly speaker when he shelved the measure final 12 months.

It may additionally upset progressive Democrats and donors who’re relying on motion.

“This is the governor who has the best shot to get this done,” mentioned Stephanie Roberson, the union’s director of presidency relations. “It takes political will and courage, and I’m going to cash in on what he said to my association.”

Now Newsom’s angle is cautious — many say lifelike — even in a state that goals to set nationwide tendencies and relishes its function on the forefront of the resistance to the Trump administration.

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Last week, Newsom known as single-payer probably the most “effective and efficient” technique to realize common protection, however he questioned whether or not it could possibly be achieved on the state degree, given the Trump administration’s opposition to the idea.

Trump’s high Medicare and Medicaid official, Seema Verma, final summer season firmly rejected the concept that the federal authorities would grant the important exemptions from federal guidelines to attempt single-payer, which she known as “unaffordable” and “something that’s not going to work.” The exemptions, or waivers, are crucial as a result of the state depends closely on federal well being care dollars that may be wanted to pay single-payer prices.

Undaunted, the California Nurses Association mentioned it intends to convey one other single-payer invoice earlier than the legislature subsequent 12 months and has launched a nationwide marketing campaign to cross single-payer in different states and persuade Congress of its deserves.

But it’s unlikely that a single-payer invoice will make it to Newsom’s desk subsequent 12 months, partially as a result of price ticket: A single-payer system may value an estimated $400 billion yearly. Lawmakers earlier this 12 months directed a council to review the feasibility of a publicly funded medical insurance plan, and its findings aren’t due till 2021 — giving the brand new governor and lawmakers time to punt on the difficulty.

Still, Democrats who head the important thing legislative well being committees see Newsom as a companion who might be extra engaged on well being care than fellow Democrat Gov. Jerry Brown has been these previous eight years.

“Health care has not been one of the issues that he’s been particularly focused on,” Assemblyman Jim Wood, chairman of the Assembly Health Committee, mentioned of Brown. “I think we’ve missed some opportunities to really move forward on some policies that would be good for all Californians.”

Brown this 12 months blocked measures that may have expanded well being care protection to some low-income unauthorized immigrants — not as a result of he philosophically opposed the thought, lawmakers say, however as a result of it will have required new state spending.

He additionally raised value issues about payments that may have offered state-funded tax credit and subsidies to individuals who purchase protection by way of Covered California, the state’s insurance coverage alternate.

With a brand new governor, these proposals are again on the desk. Newsom was, in any case, the San Francisco mayor who signed off on the nation’s first common well being care program for metropolis residents with out insurance coverage, together with undocumented immigrants. And, as he has reminded reporters, he did it throughout a recession.

“It’s a question of what do you value, what you prioritize,” he mentioned final week when requested how the state may afford each common well being care and his name for common preschool.

Newsom’s marketing campaign didn’t reply to questions on how he would develop protection absent single-payer. But, earlier this 12 months, his spokesman told California Healthline that proposals to provide protection to undocumented immigrants and earmarking state dollars to assist shoppers purchase insurance coverage protection have been “two major parts” of his plan to ship well being protection to all state residents. The state’s estimated 1.Eight million unauthorized immigrants, for instance, make up roughly 59 % of the state’s remaining uninsured residents, in keeping with Covered California.

The Democratic-dominated legislature must approve these strikes.

“We’re going to be looking at a variety of ways that we might be able to get everyone covered,” Wood mentioned. But, he added, “it will be significantly expensive to do that.”

Wood and state Sen. Richard Pan, chair of the Senate Health Committee, mentioned lawmakers ought to take a look at the structural points in well being care — how costs for companies and prescribed drugs are regulated and the way efficiencies, improved entry and curbs on expensive care of persistent ailments is perhaps achieved.

“I think it’s clear the health care landscape is a focal point for the California legislature,” mentioned Erin Trish, affiliate director of well being coverage at University of Southern California’s Schaeffer Center. “They don’t have to push for a single-payer system to push for expanded coverage.”

Expanding well being care protection would require extra state spending, however that wouldn’t essentially imply successful to the state financial system, consultants mentioned.

After California applied the Affordable Care Act (albeit with important federal help), the state’s financial system continued to develop and the variety of uninsured residents fell to 7.2 % in 2017, in keeping with the U.S. Census Bureau.

“We’ve expanded coverage and our economy has continued to flourish,” mentioned Dr. Andrew Bindman, a main care doctor who can be a professor on the Philip R. Lee Institute for Health Policy Studies on the University of California-San Francisco, who helped draft the federal well being care regulation. “These things are achievable, and I think California is a model of that.”

Pan, the chair of the Senate Health Committee, mentioned he appears ahead to participating Newsom, somebody who proved he may transfer past rhetoric by signing the San Francisco measure that provided extra metropolis residents well being protection.

“Hopefully, we have an opportunity to get something done,” Pan mentioned.

Use Our Content This story might be republished free of charge (details).

This story was produced by Kaiser Health News, which publishes California Healthline, a service of the California Health Care Foundation.

Samantha Young: syoung@kff.org”>syoung@kff.org, @youngsamantha

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